FX Rundown (week of 8/21)

Posted: Aug. 21, 2023, 7:43 a.m.

Screenshot 2023-08-21 064403

Australian Dollar

Technicals (September)

Australian Dollar futures paused the sell-off as commodities gain and China cuts key lending rates. Momentum studies continue to trade in oversold territory, leaving this market in a solid downtrend. Futures would need to rally to 0.66385 in order to Neutralize the current Bearish Trend. 

Bias: Bearish/Neutral

Previous Session Bias: Bearish/Neutral

Resistance: 0.67650***

Pivot: 0.66385

Support: 0.64000-0.63500**

Screenshot 2023-08-21 065310

British Pound

Technicals (September)

Pound futures turn lower but stay within their probable trading ranges.  Futures will need to close above 1.2885 in order to flip from a Bearish to a Neutral trend. 

Bias: Bearish/Neutral

Previous Session Bias: Bearish/Neutral

Resistance: 1.3000*** 

Pivot: 1.2885

Support: 1.2525***

Screenshot 2023-08-21 065353

Canadian Dollar

Technicals (September)

Canadian Dollar futures reversed higher overnight, with a close needed over the 200 DMA at 0.74540 to rekindle some bullish momentum. Our Bear trend neutralizer remains at 0.75110.

Bias: Bearish/Neutral

Previous Session Bias: Bearish/Neutral

Resistance: 0.74550**,  0.76000***

Pivot: 0.74500

Support: 0.73500**

Screenshot 2023-08-21 065422

Euro Currency

Technicals (September)

The Euro hovers just above its 200 DMA and will need a breakdown in the U.S. Dollar in order to bounce. It would take a move back through 1.10760 to get back to Neutral. I expect minor support neat the 200 DMA at 1.08780. 

Bias: Bearish/Neutral

Previous Session Bias: Bearish/Neutral

Resistance: 1.11000***

Pivot: 1.10000

Support: 1.08665**

Screenshot 2023-08-21 065450

Japanese Yen

Technicals (September)

Futures seem to be drafting higher with weaker U.S. Equities. Our trend neutralizer level remains at 0.711230. However, it would take a much larger move to 0.725000 in order to start a new up wave. 

Bias: Bearish/Neutral

Previous Session Bias: Bearish/Neutral

Resistance: 0.725000***

Pivot: 0.711230

Support: 0.685000***

Screenshot 2023-08-21 065519

Swiss Franc

Technicals (September)

The Swiss Franc flipped to a Neutral Trend, with the two levels to watch, 1.15800 and 1.13590 as your Bull/Bear trend levels. Momentum studies have fallen back into oversold levels. Keep an eye on the 200 DMA at 1.11690 as your first major support level. 

Bias: Neutral

Previous Session Bias: Bullish/Neutral

Resistance: 1.15580***

Pivot: 1.14025

Support: 1.13590** 1.11640***

Screenshot 2023-08-21 065552

U.S. Dollar

Technicals (September)

The U.S. Dollar continues its relentless move higher. Critical support remains at the 200 DMA at 102.59 and 102.00. It would take a move under 101.55 to shift to a Neutral trend and a move under 100.00 to shift to a Bearish trend. 

Bias: Bullish/Neutral

Previous Session Bias: Bullish/Neutral

Resistance: 104.00***

Pivot: 101.55

Support: 101.00***

Screenshot 2023-08-21 065622


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