Crop Progress Pressures Grain Futures Prices

Posted: Aug. 15, 2023, 6:50 a.m.

Corn

Technicals (December)

Yesterday's crop progress report (for those still interested) showed good/excellent conditions at 59%, that was a 2% improvement from last week.  That has put corn prices back near yesterday's low which coincides with the July lows and our support pocket, 480-482.  We are still in the camp that this pocket represents a good risk/reward trade to the buyside.  A break and close below would Neutralize that bias. 

Bias: Neutral/Bullish

Previous Session Bias: Neutral/Bullish

Resistance: 518-525 3/4****, 540 1/2-545***

Pivot:  502-506 1/2

Support: 480-482***, 476**

ZCZ2023_2023-08-15_05-35-14

 

Soybeans 

Technicals (November)

Yesterday's weekly crop progress report showed good/excellent conditions at 59%, a 5% improvement from last week. An astounding 12% improvement in Illinois was the attention grabber which again raises questions about the validity of ratings to begin with.  Our 3-star resistance pocket was tested yesterday and again overnight, both times holding.  If the Bulls are able to chew through and close above this pocket, it could spark a bigger rally with the next objective coming in 15-20 cents higher.  Hotter and drier forecasts for middle to late August could be help support that technical move. 

Bias: Bullish/Neutral

Previous Session Bias: Bullish/Neutral

Resistance: 1324-1334***, 1350-1355**

Pivot: 1291-1300 

Support:  1282**, 1256-1260***

ZSX2023_2023-08-14_06-01-44

Wheat

Technicals (September)

September Chicago wheat continued to slide lower in yesterday's trade, testing and holding our support pocket from 603-607.  That's the lowest price since May 31st. The market was able to recover and finish off the lows (less bad), but the overnight and early morning trade is testing yesterday's lows.  The Bulls need to defend this pocket on a closing basis, a failure to do so could trigger a retest of the May low, 587 3/4. 

Bias: Neutral/Bullish

Previous Session Bias: Neutral/Bullish

Resistance: 669-673***, 693 1/2-698 3/4***

Pivot:  622-632 

Support: 603-607***, 587 3/4**

ZWU2023_2023-08-15_06-28-35


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