Grains Slide Lower on Weather and a Strong US Dollar

Posted: Aug. 8, 2023, 7:14 a.m.

Corn

Technicals (December)

December corn futures traded to their lowest price since July 13th.  Despite trading lower for 9 of the last 10 trading sessions, the RSI is only at 39.23, above what is typically referred to as "oversold".  If the Bulls cannot reclaim ground above our pivot pocket from 497-502, a retest of the July lows is still in the cards.  With that said, as mentioned in our interview with RFD-TV, we think that those lows will hold on the *first test.  Keep in mind that we do have a USDA report out on Friday which could flip this bias on its head in jiffy.  With new crop weekly options expiring on the day of this report, market participants may look to utilize these options as a cost-effective way to help manage price risk or express an opinion in the market.

Bias: Neutral/Bullish

Previous Session Bias: Neutral/Bullish

Resistance: 518-525 3/4****, 540 1/2-545***

Pivot: 497-502 

Support: 480-482***

ZCZ2023_2023-08-08_04-49-39

 

Soybeans 

Technicals (November)

November soybean futures have officially made a full retracement from the June 30th acreage report.  Also coming into play here is the first trade below the 100-day moving average since the day of that report.  This price area also represents the 50% retracement (middle of the range) from the May low to the July high.  In yesterday's report we moved to our bias to outright Neutral.  

Bias: Neutral

Previous Session Bias: Neutral

Resistance: 1324-1334***, 1350-1355**

Pivot: 1291-1300 

Support:  1282**, 1256-1260***

ZSX2023_2023-08-08_06-33-18

 

Wheat

Technicals (September)

September Chicago wheat futures were able to buck the weakness in the corn and soybean markets yesterday, thanks to continued concerns in the Black Sea.  The market is giving some of those gains back in the early morning trade but is holding better than we've seen recently.  The 50 and 100 day moving averages are acting as short-term upside targets, that comes in from 669-673. 

Bias: Bullish/Neutral

Previous Session Bias: Bullish/Neutral

Resistance:  693 1/2-698 3/4***, 744-745***

Pivot:  669-673

Support:   622-632****

ZWU2023_2023-08-08_06-39-16


First Two Weeks Free!
In case you haven't already, you can sign up for a complimentary 2-week trial of our complete research packet, Blue Line Express.
Sign up for a Free Trial
Start Trading with Blue Line Futures
Don't have an account with Blue Line Futures?
If you have any questions about markets, trading, or opening an account please let us know! You can email us at info@BlueLineFutures.com or call 312-278-0500.

Futures trading involves substantial risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Therefore, carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition. Trading advice is based on information taken from trade and statistical services and other sources Blue Line Futures, LLC believes are reliable. We do not guarantee that such information is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. Trading advice reflects our good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that the advice we give will result in profitable trades. All trading decisions will be made by the account holder. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Blue Line Futures is a member of NFA and is subject to NFA’s regulatory oversight and examinations. However, you should be aware that the NFA does not have regulatory oversight authority over underlying or spot virtual currency products or transactions or virtual currency exchanges, custodians or markets. Therefore, carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you considering your financial condition.

With Cyber-attacks on the rise, attacking firms in the healthcare, financial, energy and other state and global sectors, Blue Line Futures wants you to be safe! Blue Line Futures will never contact you via a third party application. Blue Line Futures employees use only firm authorized email addresses and phone numbers. If you are contacted by any person and want to confirm identity please reach out to us at info@bluelinefutures.com or call us at 312- 278-0500




Like this post? Share it below:


Back to Insights