FX Rundown (week of 8/2)

Posted: Aug. 3, 2023, 8:30 a.m.

Today's FX Tactical Ranges

*Markets with increased volatility in the overnight session are highlighted

Screenshot 2023-08-03 063308

For additional information on using the FX Rundown for your self-directed trading, please refer to the bottom of this email for a brief explanation.

Most successful traders use a mechanical trading system

  • It automates the entire process and provides answers for every decision a trader must make while in the markets
  • Having a strategy that tells you precisely what to do allows you to build confidence, consistency, and discipline. 

You need to know 

  • What markets to buy or sell
  • How much to buy or sell
  • When to buy or sell
  • When to exit a losing position
  • When to exit a winning position
  • How to buy or sell (Options or Futures, Micros, Minis, or Full Size)

When managing a trade, position sizing is the most overlooked yet critical in increasing your chances of remaining in the market long enough to catch the next trending market. 

Technical Spotlight - 8/3/23 Aussie Dollar (September)

Screenshot 2023-07-31 072300

Technicals: The trend following trading system is Bearish

Trend Activation Date: August 1

Bear Trade Trigger: 0.66190*

Trend Neutralizer: 0.68340* A close above neutralizes the existing bear trend. 

Last Session Settlement Price: 0.65555

Support: 0.65000**

Resistance: 0.67570** (200 DMA), 0.69500*, 0.70000***

Initial Margin $1,980

Maintenance Margin $1,800

Last Trade Date: September 18

Technical Spotlight - 8/3/23 British Pound (September)

Screenshot 2023-07-31 072454

Technicals: The trend following trading system is Neutral

Trend Activation Date: TBD

Bull Trade Trigger: 1.3029* A closing settlement above starts a new bull trend

Bear Trade Trigger: 1.2676* A closing settlement below starts a new bear trend

Last Session Settlement Price: 1.2722

Upcoming Seasonal Trend in Play: None

Resistance: 1.3000**

Support: 1.2717**, 1.2524**,  1.2472**, 1.2322**, 200 DMA at 1.2259

Initial Margin $3,300

maintenance Margin $3,000

Last Trade Date: September 18

Technical Spotlight - 8/3/23 Canadian Dollar (September)

Screenshot 2023-07-31 072527

Technicals: The trend following trading system is Neutral

Trend Activation Date: TBD

Bull Trade Trigger: 0.76254* A closing settlement above starts a new bull trend

Bear Trade Trigger: 0.75057* A closing settlement below starts a new bear trend

Last Session Settlement Price: 0.74975

Resistance: 0.76000**,  0.76360**

Support:  0.74945**, The volatility surge leaves 0.74250-0.74000* as a Major level of support, followed by the recent contract lows. 

Initial Margin $1,760

Maintenance Margin $1,600

Last Trade Date: September 18

Technical Spotlight - 8/3/23 Euro (September)

Screenshot 2023-07-31 072603

Technicals: The trend following trading system is Neutral

Trend Activation Date: TBD

Bull Trade Trigger: 1.11595* A closing settlement above starts a new bull trend

Bear Trade Trigger: 1.09328* A closing settlement below starts a new bear trend

Last Session Settlement Price: 1.09675

Resistance: 1.1100*, 1.1200*

Support:  1.08650*, 200 DMA at 1.08240, 1.06650**

Initial Margin $3,190

Maintenance Margin $2,900

Last Trade Date: September 18

Technical Spotlight - 8/3/23 Japanese Yen (September)

Screenshot 2023-07-31 072642

Technicals: The trend following trading system is Neutral

Trend Activation Date: TBD

Bull Trade Trigger: 0.726150* A closing settlement above starts a new bull trend

Bear Trade Trigger: 0.703250* A closing settlement below starts a new bear trend

Last Session Settlement Price: 0.703100

Resistance: 0.730000*

Support: 0.700000*

Initial Margin $4,400

Maintenance Margin $2,900

Last Trade Date: September 18

Technical Spotlight - 8/3/23 Swiss Franc (September)

Screenshot 2023-07-31 072719

Technicals: The trend following trading system is Bullish

Trend Activation Date: July 7

Bull Trade Trigger: 1.13395*

Trend Neutralizer: 1.14025* A close below neutralizes the existing bullish trend. 

Last Session Settlement Price: 1.14545

Resistance: 1.16000

Support: Long-term support remains at 1.13500 and the 200 DMA at 1.11170

Initial Margin $4,400

Maintenance Margin $2,900

Last Trade Date: June 19

Technical Spotlight - 8/3/23 U.S. Dollar (September)

Screenshot 2023-07-31 072806

Technicals: The trend following trading system is Neutral

Trend Activation Date: TBD

Bull Trade Trigger: 102.57* A closing settlement above starts a new bull trend

Bear Trade Trigger: 100.34* A closing settlement below starts a new bear trend

Last Session Settlement Price: 102.38

Support: 101.00**100.00**, 99.00

Resistance: 102.00**,  103.50**

Initial Margin $2,090

Maintenance Margin $1,900

Last Trade Date: September 18

How to use the FX Rundown

The FX Rundown is a technical system that uses end-of-the-day settlement prices to identify "bullish," "bearish," or neutral positions by analyzing hundreds of data points. The system removes the human element by giving the reader actionable trading ideas that attempt to position for new trends in the market. The system will keep track of the hypothetical open trade equity as reflected in the day's settlement.

How the system works

To establish a "long" position, the settlement must close above the "bull trade trigger." At that point, the "bear trade trigger" will act as a protective stop level.

Conversely, to establish a "short" position, the settlement must close below the "bear trade trigger." The "bull trade trigger" will be a protective stop level at that point.

Remember, the system will not flip directly from long to short but shift to the sidelines, reflecting a "neutral" position for at least one day before establishing a new signal.

Risk Management

Although protective buy and sell triggers are listed, we suggest using stop losses that you are comfortable with financially and technically for risk management. Please consult your broker or the trading desk if you have any questions.


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Futures trading involves substantial risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Therefore, carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition. Trading advice is based on information taken from trade and statistical services and other sources Blue Line Futures, LLC believes are reliable. We do not guarantee that such information is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. Trading advice reflects our good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that the advice we give will result in profitable trades. All trading decisions will be made by the account holder. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

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