Long Liquidation Pressures Cattle Futures

Posted: July 25, 2023, 9:29 a.m.

Live Cattle

Technicals (October- V)

October live cattle got hit hard yesterday, finishing the day 1.60 lower to settle at the lowest price in about two weeks. The pullback took prices right back to our first support pocket, 176.65-180.175.   Pressure came on the back of long liquidation following a bearish cattle on feed report on Friday.  Long liquidation risk continues to be one of our biggest concerns that continues to temper our expectations.  If the Bulls fail to defend support through today's session, we could see the selling accelerate with the next support pocket coming in from 176.20-177.25.

Resistance: 184.35**, 185.75***

Support: 179.65-180.175***, 176.20-177.25****, 174.80**

LEV2023_2023-07-25_06-35-23

 

Feeder Cattle

Technicals (October - V)

October feeder cattle gaped lower in yesterday's trade, which shouldn't have been all that surprising considering Friday's report and the surging corn prices.  What was surprising was the fact that feeders were able to claw back into positive territory midday, only to be sold off again into the afternoon.  Our first support pocket held firm yesterday; we outlined that in recent reports as 247.40-247.75.  A failure to defend this pocket on a closing basis could trigger additional pressure.  Potential downside targets are the 50-day moving average near 244.10 and the June 27th gap at 242.00.  With all of that bearish content in mind, grains are weaker which may be supportive to prices on the open.  

Resistance: 252.60-253.00***, 254.20**, 256.00**

Support: 247.40-247.75***, 246.025**, 243.75***

GFV2023_2023-07-25_06-36-34

 

Lean Hogs

Technicals (October - V)

October lean hog futures failed to get anything going in yesterday's trade.  The break below Friday's low led to additional long liquidation.  Support from 80.55-81.50 will continue to be watched closely.  A failure to defend this pocket could keep the pressure on.  The Bulls want to see a close back above our pivot point at 83.55 to keep the Bulls in the driver's seat.  

Resistance: 85.50-86.40****, 87.77-88.32***, 89.12-90.00**

Pivot: 83.55

Support: 80.55-81.50***, 78.45**

HEV2023_2023-07-25_06-37-15


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