Grain Prices Retreat After Yesterday's Rally

Posted: June 14, 2023, 7:22 a.m.

Grain Express New

 

Corn

Technicals (July)

July corn futures had an ugly reversal yesterday afternoon after failing against the 100-day moving average for the second consecutive day.  That bearish reversal has spilled into weakness in the overnight and early morning trade, bringing prices back near the psychologically significant $6.00 handle and the 50-day moving average, $6.01 1/2.  As mentioned in recent reports, our bias remains Neutral.  Not because there is no opportunity, but because the intraday opportunities are plentiful on both sides.  There's an old saying, Bulls make money, Bears make money, and Pigs get slaughtered.  

 

Bias: Neutral

Previous Session Bias: Neutral

Resistance:  622 1/4-623 3/4***, 631-634****

Pivot:615 3/4**

Support: 600-605*** 591 1/2**, 577-581***

ZCN2023_2023-06-14_05-59-41
     

Technicals (December)

December corn futures rallied up to the 100-day moving average and near trendline resistance in yesterday's trade but ran out of gas.  Prices have retreated a bit in the early morning session and are currently trading near our pivot point, 543 1/4.  If the Bulls fail to defend this level through today's session, we could see the market retreat back to our 4-star support pocket, 530 1/2-536 3/4.  Needless to say, weather will continue to rule the day.

 

Bias: Neutral

Previous Session Bias: Neutral

Resistance:  556 3/4**, 562-568****

Pivot: 543 1/4

Support: 530 1/2-536 3/4****

ZCZ2023_2023-06-14_06-00-11

Soybeans 

Technicals (July)

July soybean futures traded to their highest price since May 12th in yesterday's session but haven't been able to find much follow-through in the overnight and early morning trade.  Previous resistance will now act as support / our pivot pocket, we see that as 1388-1392 3/4.  A break and close back below here could neutralize some of the recent momentum that we've seen.  

 

Bias: Neutral

Previous Session Bias: Neutral

Resistance: 1411-1417***

Pivot: 1388-1392 3/4 

Support: 1368**, 1345-1350***, 1299-1310***

ZSN2023_2023-06-14_06-14-25

Technicals (November)

November soybeans broke out above trendline resistance yesterday and made a beeline for the 50-day moving average, where the rally came to a screeching halt.  That same trendline will now act as support going forward, 1220-1227.  A failure to defend this pocket could lead to a retracement back to the breakout point and psychologically significant $12.00 level. 

 

Bias: Neutral

Previous Session Bias: Neutral

Resistance: 1244 1/2-1450****

Pivot: 1220-1227  

Support: 1195-1202 1/2***, 1167-1172***

ZSX2023_2023-06-14_06-14-40

Wheat

Technicals (July)

July Chicago wheat futures tested but failed against the 50-day moving average in yesterday's trade.  That failure may be encouraging some weakness in the early morning trade, as well as potential spillover selling from corn and soybeans.  625-630 remains intact as our pivot pocket.  The Bulls need to defend this on a closing basis.  A failure to do so could take prices back to 600-605.  Continued consolidation into next week's options expiration seems like a likely scenario.  

 

Bias: Bullish

Previous Session Bias: Bullish

Resistance:  648-655***, 665-669***

Pivot: 625-630

Support: 600-605****, 590-595** 

ZWN2023_2023-06-14_06-23-02

Sign up below for a FREE trial of our daily commentary!


First Two Weeks Free!
In case you haven't already, you can sign up for a complimentary 2-week trial of our complete research packet, Blue Line Express.
Sign up for a Free Trial
Start Trading with Blue Line Futures
Don't have an account with Blue Line Futures?
If you have any questions about markets, trading, or opening an account please let us know! You can email us at info@BlueLineFutures.com or call 312-278-0500.

Futures trading involves substantial risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Therefore, carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition. Trading advice is based on information taken from trade and statistical services and other sources Blue Line Futures, LLC believes are reliable. We do not guarantee that such information is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. Trading advice reflects our good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that the advice we give will result in profitable trades. All trading decisions will be made by the account holder. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Blue Line Futures is a member of NFA and is subject to NFA’s regulatory oversight and examinations. However, you should be aware that the NFA does not have regulatory oversight authority over underlying or spot virtual currency products or transactions or virtual currency exchanges, custodians or markets. Therefore, carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you considering your financial condition.

With Cyber-attacks on the rise, attacking firms in the healthcare, financial, energy and other state and global sectors, Blue Line Futures wants you to be safe! Blue Line Futures will never contact you via a third party application. Blue Line Futures employees use only firm authorized email addresses and phone numbers. If you are contacted by any person and want to confirm identity please reach out to us at info@bluelinefutures.com or call us at 312- 278-0500


Grains Soybeans Corn Wheat

Like this post? Share it below:


Back to Insights