Cattle Futures Tack on Another Month of Gains. How Much More Upside is Left? | Livestock Rundown | 6/1/2023 |

Posted: June 1, 2023, 8:01 a.m.

Live Cattle

Technicals (August - Q)

  • The August live cattle contract marked it's 8th consecutive month of gains and made it 11 out of the last 12 months with gains.  This has brought the RSI to 71.33, the highest level since April 12th where the market marked a short-term top.  Rather than just state the obvious, which is that prices are in "uncharted territory", we've gone back and added some seasonal comparisons.

Resistance:  

Pivot: 164.57-165.05

Support: 160.80-161.55****, 159.175-159.75***

LEQ2023_2023-06-01_07-32-07
     

Below is a look at this year's August contract versus the 5, 10, 15, 20, and 30 year averages for price action.  Historically, June has been a choppy month, but as you can see, this year's prices haven't stayed in step with history (for good reason).  

August live cattle june seasonal
     

Below is a chart of 2023 August live cattle VS 2014 August live cattle.

August cattle VS 2014

 

Feeder Cattle

Technicals (August-Q)

  • A new contract high for august feeders was achieved yesterday, which extended the monthly streak of gains to 6.  As with the live cattle section, we've included some historicals to reference since we are continuously trading in uncharted territory it seems. 

 

Resistance: 235.50-236.00*

Support: 231.25-232.225****, 225.925-226.80**

GFQ2023_2023-06-01_07-28-03

Below is a look at this year's August contract versus the 5, 10, 15, 20, and 30 year averages for price action.  Historically, we've seen a pullback into the middle of the month. But we've also seen the market buck the historical trends since the start of the year. 

6123 GFQ

Below is a chart of 2023 August feeder cattle VS 2014 August feeder cattle.

gfq 2014

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Lean Hogs

HEM2023_2023-06-01_07-31-43

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