Livestock Roundup | Livestock Rundown | 5/9/2023

Posted: May 9, 2023, 9:19 a.m.

Cattle Summary

Daily Cutout Values

  • Choice: 308.56, Down .63 from the previous day.
  • Select: 285.12, Down 3.04 from the previous day.
  • Choice/Select Spread: 23.44

5 Area Average Cattle Price

  • Live Steer: 173.93
  • Live Heifer: 173.84
  • Dressed Steer: 280.94
  • Dressed Heifer: 280.92

Daily Slaughter

  • Estimated at 126,000. Up 3,000 from last week and 7,000 from the same week last year.

Feeder Cattle Index

  • 05/05/2023: 200.01
  • 05/04/2023: 199.46

Commitment of Traders 

  • Live Cattle: The most recent CoT report showed Managed Money holding a net long position of 107,551 futures/options contracts, up 518 from the previous week.  Broken down, that is 124,263 longs VS 16,712 shorts.  The net position is at the upper end of historical levels, but still less than what we saw in February.  
  • Feeder Cattle: The most recent CoT report showed Managed Money holding a net long position of 14,587 futures/options contracts, up 1,378 from the previous week.  Broken down, that is 21,835 longs VS 7,248 shorts.  Though it is not a record long net position, it is the largest position in over 5 years.  

Live Cattle

Seasonal Trend in Play

  • The next Seasonal Trend for live cattle is for the October contract and starts on May 25th.  

Technicals (June - M)

  • June live cattle were able to recoup some ground in yesterday's trade.  Cash trade hasn't done much which for now keeps the attention on money flow and technicals.  161.075-161.925 remains the pocket the Bulls need to defend.  A failure here could spark long liquidation, regardless of what the basis is.  

Resistance:  165.75-166.275***

Pivot: 164.00-164.25 

Support: 161.075-161.925***, 159.175-159.75***

LEM2023_2023-05-08_16-01-58

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Feeder Cattle

Seasonal Trend in Play: 

  • None

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Hogs Summary

 

Daily Direct Hogs Plant Delivered (as of 1:30 PM CT)

Carcass Base Price

Range: 65.00-75.50

Weighted Average: 72.80

Change from Prior Day: 1.91

Head Count: 7,868

CME Lean Hog Index

5/04/2023: 74.53

5/03/2023: 73.24

Commitment of Traders

  • Lean Hogs: The most recent CoT report showed short covering in lean hogs for the week ending 5/2/2023.  Funds bought back 11,433 short positions, and added 2,406 long positions, for a net change of 13,839.  Their net position has shrunk to 6,823, which broken down is 52,260 long VS 59,083 short. 

     

Lean Hogs

  Seasonal Tend in Play

  • December lean hog futures have trended higher from March 30th to June 10th for 12 out of the last 15 years.

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Futures trading involves substantial risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Therefore, carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition. Trading advice is based on information taken from trade and statistical services and other sources Blue Line Futures, LLC believes are reliable. We do not guarantee that such information is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. Trading advice reflects our good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that the advice we give will result in profitable trades. All trading decisions will be made by the account holder. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Blue Line Futures is a member of NFA and is subject to NFA’s regulatory oversight and examinations. However, you should be aware that the NFA does not have regulatory oversight authority over underlying or spot virtual currency products or transactions or virtual currency exchanges, custodians or markets. Therefore, carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you considering your financial condition.

With Cyber-attacks on the rise, attacking firms in the healthcare, financial, energy and other state and global sectors, Blue Line Futures wants you to be safe! Blue Line Futures will never contact you via a third party application. Blue Line Futures employees use only firm authorized email addresses and phone numbers. If you are contacted by any person and want to confirm identity please reach out to us at info@bluelinefutures.com or call us at 312- 278-0500


Livestock Feeder Cattle Lean Hogs Live Cattle

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