Chop Chop | Livestock Roundup | 5/2/2023

Posted: May 2, 2023, 8:05 a.m.

Cattle Summary

Daily Cutout Values

  • Choice: 310.02, Down 1.42 from the previous day.
  • Select: 291.00, Up 2.66 from the previous day.
  • Choice/Select Spread: 19.02

5 Area Average Cattle Price

  • Live Steer: 177.15
  • Live Heifer: 177.38
  • Dressed Steer: 284.05
  • Dressed Heifer: 284.17

Daily Slaughter

  • Estimated at 123,000. Down 1,000 from last week but 10,000 more than the same week last year.

Feeder Cattle Index

  • 04/28/2023: 201.81
  • 04/27/2023: 203.20

Live Cattle

Seasonal Trend in Play

  • The next Seasonal Trend for live cattle is for the October contract and starts on May 25th.  

Commitment of Traders Update (through April 25th)

  • Live Cattle:  Managed Money were net long 107,033 futures/options contracts.  Broken down that is 125,860 longs (up 1,475) VS 18,827 Shorts (down 1,217).

LEM2023_2023-05-02_07-29-48

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Feeder Cattle

Seasonal Trend in Play: 

  • None

Commitment of Traders Update (through April 25th)

  • Feeder Cattle:  Managed Money were net long 13,210 futures/options contracts.  This is the largest net long position since the Fall of 2017.  Broken down that is 20,917 longs (up 1,734) VS 7,707 Shorts (down 464).

Technicals (August-Q)

August feeder cattle pulled back in yesterday's trade, which brings the RSI closer to 70.  3-day pullbacks have been sparce since the start of the year as buyers have used essentially any and all pullbacks as buying opportunities.  A break and close below support from 227.50-228.00 could keep buyers at bay and potentially spark a round of profit taking.

 

Resistance: 232.225-233.00*

Support: 227.50-228.00****

GFQ2023_2023-05-01_07-35-38

Hogs Summary

 

Daily Direct Hogs Plant Delivered (as of 1:30 PM CT)

Carcass Base Price

Range: 64.00-76.00

Weighted Average: 72.85

Change from Prior Day: 1.18

Head Count: 8,415

CME Lean Hog Index

4/27/2023: 71.49

4/26/2023: 71.29

     

Lean Hogs

  Seasonal Tend in Play

  • December lean hog futures have trended higher from March 30th to June 10th for 12 out of the last 15 years.

HEM2023_2023-05-02_07-44-11

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Livestock Feeder Cattle Lean Hogs Live Cattle

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