Livestock Roundup 2/2/23

Posted: Feb. 2, 2023, 8:32 a.m.

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Cattle Summary

Daily Cutout Values

Choice: 265.07, Down 1.02 from the previous day.

Select: 252.78, Down .14 from the previous day.

Choice/Select Spread: 12.29

5 Area Average Cattle Price

Live Steer: N/A

Live Heifer: N/A

Dressed Steer: N/A

Dressed Heifer: N/A

Daily Slaughter

Estimated at 127,000. Unchanged from last week but 7,000 more than the same week last year.

Feeder Cattle Index

01/31/2023: 180.37

01/30/2023: 180.42

Live Cattle

 

Managed Money Position

Updated each Friday with the weekly CoT Report

  • Managed funds were net sellers of 7,815 futures/options contracts, shrinking their net long position for the second straight week, they are now net long 76,857 contracts. Broken down that is 266,783 longs VS 64,986 shorts.

 

Seasonal Trend in Play

  • June live cattle have trended higher from January 29th to February 19th for 13 of the last 15 years.  The average gain has been about 1.00, or $400 per futures contract
  • LEJ2023_2023-02-02_08-14-58

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Feeder Cattle

 

Managed Money Position

Updated each Friday with the weekly CoT Report

  • Managed Money are net short 5,900 futures/options contracts.  Broken down, that is 9,991 longs VS 15,8891 shorts.

Seasonal Trend in Play: None

GFH2023_2023-02-02_08-17-44

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Hogs Summary

Daily Direct Hogs Plant Delivered (as of 1:30 PM CT)

Carcass Base Price

Range: 65.00-76.00

Weighted Average: 73.03

Change from Prior Day: 2.18

Head Count: 10,408

Daily Hog Slaughter

490,000. Unchanged from last week but 64,000 more than last year.

Lean Hogs

 

Managed Money Position

Updated each Friday with the weekly CoT Report

  • Funds were net sellers of 14,334 futures/options contracts, flipping them from net long to net short, 3,672 futures/options contracts. Broken down that is 45,426 longs VS 49,098 shorts. The last time funds were net short was December 2019 (they didn't stay short for long).

Seasonal Tend in Play

  • August lean hogs have firmed from January 30th to March 8th for 12 of the last 15 years.  The average rally in the 12 positive years was 4.42.  The average decline in the two off trend years was 3.69.

HEJ2023_2023-02-02_08-19-49

     

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Livestock Feeder Cattle Lean Hogs Live Cattle

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