Grain Express 1/6/23

Posted: Jan. 6, 2023, 8:33 a.m.

Weekly Export Sales

Corn: Net sales of 319,200 MT (12,558,471 bushels)

Soybeans: Net sales of 721,000 MT (26,492,207 bushels)

Wheat: Net sales of 47,100 MT (1,730,628 bushels)

 

Crop Conditions - Argentina

Soybeans are rated at just 8% Good/Excellent, down 2% from last week. 54% of the crop is rated as Fair, down 8%. 38% of the crop is rated as Poor, up 10%.

Corn is rated at 13% Good/Excellent, down 2% from last week. 55% is rated as Fair, down 2%. 32% is rated as Poor, up 4%.

 

A Look at the Outside Markets

This morning's Non-Farm payroll number came in at 223,000, above estimates but lower than last month.  Average hourly earnings came in below estimates.  The initial market reaction was risk-on, with the dollar retreating and outside markets rallying.  

Corn (March)

Managed Money Position: 163,666

(Updated with the weekly CoT Report)

Seasonal Trend in Play: None

Next Seasonal Trend Start Date: January 13th

Below is a daily chart of March corn futures

ZCH2023_2023-01-06_05-53-33

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Soybeans (March)

 

Managed Money Position: 128,616

(Updated with the weekly CoT Report)

 

Seasonal Trend in Play:  March soybeans have trended higher from November 16th to January 9th for 14 of the last 15 years. 

Next Seasonal Trend Start Date: January 31st 

ZSH2023_2023-01-06_05-54-56

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Wheat (March)

Managed Money Position: -59,311

(Updated with the weekly CoT Report)

Seasonal Trend in Play: None.  

Next Seasonal Trend: March KC Wheat, Starts on January 10th.

ZWH2023_2023-01-06_05-56-04

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Grains Soybeans Corn Wheat

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