Livestock Roundup 12/27/22

Posted: Dec. 27, 2022, 8:29 a.m.

Cattle Summary

Cattle on Feed Snapshot

On Feed: 97.4%, VS estimates of 97.1%

Placements: 97.9% VS estimates of 95.4%

Marketings: 101.2% VS estimates of 100.9%

Daily Cutout Values

Choice: 271.95, Up 6.74 from the previous day.

Select: 245.47, Up 3.66 from the previous day.

Choice/Select Spread: 26.48

5 Area Average Cattle Price

Live Steer: 155.90

Live Heifer: 155.80

Dressed Steer: 248.73

Dressed Heifer: 248.93

Daily Slaughter

Estimated at 104,000. 15,000 less than last week but significantly more than the same week last year (Holiday Week) 

Feeder Cattle Index

12/22/2022: 176.75

12/21/2022: 177.83

Live Cattle (February)

Managed Money Position: 65,465 (Chart and Changes Below; Updated with the weekly CoT Report)

12.27.22 LC COT CHART

 

12.27.22 LC COT TABLE

 

Seasonal Trend in Play:  A bullish seasonal for April live cattle goes from December 9th to January 2nd and has played out for 15 straight years.

LEG2023_2022-12-27_07-42-52

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Feeder Cattle (January)

Managed Money Position: -1,638 (Updated with the weekly CoT Report)

Seasonal Trend in Play None

Technicals: January feeder cattle were choppy last week, leaving the technical landscape little changed. 

GFF2023_2022-12-27_07-43-12

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Hogs Summary

Daily Direct Hogs Plant Delivered (as of 1:30 PM CT)

Carcass Base Price

Range: N/A

Weighted Average: N/A

Change from Prior Day: N/A

Head Count: 440

Daily Hog Slaughter

96,000. 


 

Lean Hogs (February)

Managed Money Position: 36,386 (Updated with the weekly CoT Report)

Seasonal Trend Play: A bullish seasonal trend for August lean hogs goes from December 6th to January 18th.  This has played out for 12 of the last 15 years.

Technicals: February lean hogs pulled back to the 50 and 100 day moving averages on Friday, after the market approached trendline resistance on Thursday.  Resistance remains intact from 90.425-91.35.  Despite being in a Bullish seasonal for August lean hogs, we like looking at the bearish side of February lean hogs so long as they can defend trendline resistance. 

HEG2023_2022-12-27_08-01-17

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