China's Re-opening | 12/05/2022

Posted: Dec. 5, 2022, 8 a.m.

  • Bill Baruch is in studio joining the CNBC Halftime Report at 11:00 am CT. Do not miss it!

    • Do not miss our weekly Top Things to Watch this Week, out every Sunday
    • China continues a reopening and drops testing requirements in Shanghai, Beijing, and Shenzhen.
    • The Chinese Yuan strengthens by 1% and is back above the psychological 7.0 mark versus the U.S. Dollar, the best level since September 13th.
    • Hang Seng +4.5% to start the week, the best level since September 2nd.
    • Shanghai Composite +1.76%, best level since September 15th.
    • G7 price cap comes takes hold, capping Russian Oil at $60 and targeting buyers (China, India, Turkey, etc) of Russian Oil in order to be carried by EU ships, with insurance, and facilitated by EU banks, etc.
    • OPEC+ decides to keep current production levels, carrying over a 2 mbpd cut decided in October as it assesses global economic growth.
    • Tailwinds from China’s reopening plans, strengthening Yuan, G7 price cap, and OPEC+ carried cut have underpinned early strength in Crude Oil, WTI +2.5-3%, retesting the $83 mark.
    • Blowout Nonfarm Payroll Report on Friday, +263k jobs versus 200k expected.
    • Wage Growth front and center, +0.6% m/m (v +0.3% exp), matching the largest gain since January, +5.1% y/y (v +4.6% exp).
    • Gains in Transportation and Warehousing +2.5% m/m, alludes to Amazon, FedEx etc not forecasting a slow holiday season.
    • Our Macro Corner chartbook covers highlights from Nonfarm Payrolls.
    • Our daily Midday Market Minute, from Friday, covering the reaction to Nonfarm Payrolls.
    • Eurozone and China Services PMI data contracts more than expected.
    • Final U.S. SPGI Services PMI due at 8:45 am CT and followed by the more closely watched ISM Non-Manufacturing read at 9:00 am CT.

E-mini S&P (December) / NQ (December)

S&P, yesterday’s close: Settled at 4075.50, down 6.25 on Friday and up 43.00 on the week

NQ, yesterday’s close: Settled at 12,010.25, down 52.50 on Friday and up 227.50 on the week

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NQ (December)

 

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Crude Oil (January)

Yesterday’s close: Settled at 79.98, down 1.24 on Friday and up 3.70 on the week

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Gold (February) / Silver (March)

Gold, yesterday’s close:  Settled at 1809.6, down 5.6 on Friday and 40.8 on the week

Silver, yesterday’s closeSettled at 23.25, up 0.409 on Friday and up 1.641 on the week

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Silver (March)

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