Livestock Roundup 11/18/22

Posted: Nov. 18, 2022, 9:16 a.m.

Cattle Summary

Daily Cutout Values

Choice: 257.10, Up .01 from the previous day.

Select: 231.74, Up .39 from the previous day.

Choice/Select Spread: 25.36

5 Area Average Cattle Price

Live Steer: 152.02

Live Heifer: 151.41

Dressed Steer: 241.94

Dressed Heifer: 241.52

Daily Slaughter

Estimated at 129,000. Unchanged from last week but 7,000 more than the same week last year.

Feeder Cattle Index

11/16/2022: 175.39

11/15/2022: 174.98

Cattle on Feed Estimates

On Feed: 98.3%

Placements: 96.4%

Marketings: 100.8%

Live Cattle

December live cattle futures were able to chew through resistance yesterday, we've defined that as 152.025-152.375.  If the Bulls can keep the momentum going through today's session, we could see the market extend towards the highs of the month, 153.425.

Coming Soon:  Seasonal Trend Alert for February Live Cattle that starts on November 27th.  Contact us for more information.

LEZ2022_2022-11-18_08-10-58

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Feeder Cattle

Feeder cattle futures caught a bid yesterday, breakout out above our pivot pocket which opened the door for an extension towards our resistance pocket, 180.425-180.925.  The next level above here would be 181.75-181.875 which represents the 200-day moving average and the high of the month.  

Coming Soon:  Seasonal Trend Alert for January Feeder Cattle that starts on November 27th.  Contact us for more information.

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Hogs Summary

Daily Direct Hogs Plant Delivered (as of 1:30 PM CT)

Carcass Base Price

Range: 74.00-87.50

Weighted Average: 83.27

Change from Prior Day: -2.88

Head Count: 4,491

Daily Hog Slaughter

493,000. 3,000 more than last week and 14,000 more than last year.

Lean Hogs

The market has been treading and holding support near the 100 and 200 day moving averages (84.62 and 85.30).  The Bulls want to see these defended.  A failure could take us back near the 83 handle.  resistance remains intact from 86.05-86.75.

Seasonal Trend in Play: December lean hogs have trended higher from November 9th to November 25th for 13 of the last 15 years. 

For more information or ideas of how to trade this trend, contact our trade desk: 312-837-3938 or email Seasonals@BlueLineFutures.com

HEZ2022_2022-11-18_08-11-31

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Livestock Feeder Cattle Lean Hogs Live Cattle

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