Grain Express 11/17/22

Posted: Nov. 17, 2022, 9:52 a.m.

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Ukraine Grain Exports

A deal to extend the Black Sea grain deal for 120 days was confirmed by Russia's foreign ministry early this morning, which has grains under pressure in the early morning trade. 

 

Export Sales

Corn:  Net sales of 1,169,700 MT for 2022/2023 

Soybeans:  Net sales of 3,030,100 MT for 2022/2023

Wheat: Net sales of 290,300 metric tons (MT) for 2022/2023

Corn

Corn futures are under pressure in the early morning trade, but it hasn't yet been enough to do any techncial damage.  Technical support remains intact from 647 1/4-652 3/4.  A break and close below this pocket would neutralize our bias as it could spark additional long liquidation, with little meaningful technical support until closer to 630.

Seasonal Trend in Play:  March corn futures have trended higher from November 16th to January 4th for 13 of the last 15 years.

For more information or ideas of how to trade this trend, contact our trade desk: 312-837-3938 or email Seasonals@BlueLineFutures.com

ZCZ2022_2022-11-17_07-27-39

 

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Soybeans

Soybeans are retreating in the early morning trade, threatening our pivot pocket from 1413-1420.  We remain optimistic, but a failure here would neutralize our short-term bias, as it could add additional pressure to prices.  The next line in the sand for support coming in at the psychologically significant $14.00 handle.  

Seasonal Trend in Play:  March soybeans have trended higher from November 16th to January 9th for 14 of the last 15 years.  

For more information or ideas of how to trade this trend, contact our trade desk: 312-837-3938 or email Seasonals@BlueLineFutures.com

ZSX2022_2022-10-10_07-51-59

 

 

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Wheat

December wheat futures are under pressure this morning following the headlines from the Black Sea.  Prices took out the recent lows, trading at their lowest level since September 1st.  The market has come off those lows, trading near the psycholgically significant $8.00 handle.  A failure to defend our support pocket from 791 1/4-801 1/4 could open the door for another 40-50 cents of downside.

Seasonal Trend in Play: Bearish March Chicago Wheat from November 4th to November 19th.  This has played out for 13 of the last 15 years.

For more information or ideas of how to trade this trend, contact our trade desk: 312-837-3938 or email Seasonals@BlueLineFutures.com

ZWZ2022_2022-11-17_07-39-16

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Grains Soybeans Corn Wheat

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