Grain Express 11/16/22

Posted: Nov. 16, 2022, 9:27 a.m.

Flash Sales

Private exporters reported the following sales activity:

  • 150,000 metric tons of hard red spring wheat for delivery to Iraq during the 2022/2023 marketing year
  • 1,866,900 metric tons of corn for delivery to Mexico. Of the total, 1,242,060 metric tons is for delivery during the 2022/2023 marketing year and 624,840 metric tons is for delivery during the 2023/2024 marketing year

Stray Missile

Grain markets popped higher yesterday afternoon on the back of news that a Russian missile killed two people in Poland, which would be a major escalation.  Reports late yesterday were that it was not a planned attack by Russia.  US officials say it was a stray missile fired by Ukraine.

Corn

December corn futures were threatening a technical breakdown but were saved by a headline and the 100-day moving average.  The market popped back higher on news that a Russian missile killed two people in Poland, which would be a major escalation.  Reports late yesterday were that it was not a planned attack by Russia.  US officials say it was a stray missile fired by Ukraine.  That has led to some risk premium evaporation in the overnight trade.  Yesterday we talked about the risk reward favoring the buyside against support from 647 1/4-652 3/4.  That bias remains intact. A break and close below support would neutralize and potentially flip that bias to bearish.  

Seasonal Trend in Play:  March corn futures have trended higher from November 16th to January 4th for 13 of the last 15 years.

For more information or ideas of how to trade this trend, contact our trade desk: 312-837-3938 or email Seasonals@BlueLineFutures.com

ZCZ2022_2022-11-16_08-31-29

 

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Soybeans

Seasonal Trend in Play:  March soybeans have trended higher from November 16th to January 9th for 14 of the last 15 years.  

For more information or ideas of how to trade this trend, contact our trade desk: 312-837-3938 or email Seasonals@BlueLineFutures.com

ZSX2022_2022-10-10_07-51-59

 

 

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Wheat

Seasonal Trend in Play: Bearish March Chicago Wheat from November 4th to November 19th.  This has played out for 13 of the last 15 years.

For more information or ideas of how to trade this trend, contact our trade desk: 312-837-3938 or email Seasonals@BlueLineFutures.com

ZWZ2022_2022-11-16_08-40-13

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