Grain Express 10/27/22

Posted: Oct. 27, 2022, 9:25 a.m.

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Export Sales

Corn:  Net sales of 264,000 MT for 2022/2023

Soybeans:  Net sales of 1,026,400 MT for 2022/2023 

Wheat: Net sales of 533,200 MT for 2022/2023

Deal or No Deal

United Nations aid chief Martin Griffiths said on Wednesday that he was "relatively optimistic" that a U.N.-brokered deal that allowed a resumption of Ukraine Black Sea grain exports would be extended beyond mid-November. 

Russian President Vladimir Putin is likely to use the possible extension of the U.N.-brokered Black Sea grain deal as a way to gain leverage and dominate next month's G20 summit in Indonesia, a European diplomat briefed on the grain talks told Reuters.  Ahead of the Nov. 19 expiry of the grain deal, which allows Ukrainian Black Sea grain exports, Russian officials have repeatedly said that there are serious problems with it.

-Reuters

The Not so Mighty Mississippi

As Mississippi River levels continue to hinder grain shipping, at least some Cargill grain terminals on the river now have stopped taking corn and soybeans.

Mike Steenhoek, executive director of the Soy Transportation Coalition said the low river conditions are a challenge for the soybean industry given how the September through February period accounts for 80% of U.S. soybean exports. -DTN

A Look at the Outside Markets

U.S. 3rd quarter GDP came in at 2.6%, .2% higher than expectations.  The initial reaction from the outside markets was positive, with the Dow trading 350 points higher and the S&P 15 points better.  Oil is up .75% to $88.60.  The US Dollar is recovering following heavy pressure in the previous two sessions.  

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Corn

It's a new day, but the same story, a rangebound corn market.  This has been a bit of a "trader's paradise", presenting some great short-term opportunities.  The sideways trade keeps our technical support and resistance levels intact.  Rather than add fluff, we will leave it at that. 

ZCZ2022_2022-10-27_06-49-01

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Soybeans

Smack dab in the middle of the risk range, that's where soybeans are trading, yet again.  The rangebound trade has been great for the nimble traders, but a headache for those looking for a breakout or a breakdown.  It should be noted that the gap in January soybeans is more pronounced than that of November.  That gap comes in from 1357-1362 1/4.  If that pocket gives way, we could see the selling accelerate with little support until the $13.00, which is technically and psychologically significant. 

ZSX2022_2022-10-27_06-49-24

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Wheat

Wheat futures are finding some strength in the early morning trade, will that hold through the regular trading hours is the big question.  The Bulls need to chew through our pivot pocket from 873-880 to encourage a bigger relief rally.  

ZWZ2022_2022-10-27_06-49-48

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