Livestock Roundup 10/26/22

Posted: Oct. 26, 2022, 9:19 a.m.

 

Cattle Summary

Daily Cutout Values

Choice: 261.43, Up 3.51 from the previous day.

Select: 227.35, Up 1.74 from the previous day.

Choice/Select Spread: 34.08

5 Area Average Cattle Price

Live Steer: 151.00

Live Heifer: N/A

Dressed Steer: N/A

Dressed Heifer: N/A

Daily Slaughter

Estimated at 129,000. 1,000 more than last week and 5,000 more than the same week last year.

Feeder Cattle Index

10/24/2022: 174.85

10/21/2022: 173.62

Live Cattle

December live cattle futures poked their head out above Friday's highs, but couldn't get much more going than that, which led to a light round of profit-taking.  The RSI is back below 70, which is the line in the sand for being "overbought".  Previous resistance is now support, that comes in from 151.60-152.375.  On the resistance side, a move above 154.20-154.25 puts us back in uncharted territory. 

Seasonal Trend in Play:  April live cattle have been higher from October 5th-November 11th for 13 of the last 15 years.

LEZ2022_2022-10-26_07-39-41

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Feeder Cattle

January feeder cattle failed to get out above resistance yesterday, which we labeled as 182.425-182.825.  The market retreated back near our pivot pocket, 180.425-180.925.  A failure to defend this pocket in today's session could trigger a deeper correction.  

GFF2023_2022-10-26_07-40-10

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Hogs Summary

Daily Direct Hogs Plant Delivered (as of 1:30 PM CT)

Carcass Base Price

Range: 85.00-102.00

Weighted Average: 96.77

Change from Prior Day: 7.59

Head Count: 16,836

Daily Hog Slaughter

491,000. Unchanged from week but 8,000 from last year.

 

Lean Hogs

 

December lean hogs traded on both sides of unchanged in yesterday's session.  The lack of a pullback after such a strong rally is impressive.  Previous resistance acts as support/our pivot pocket, that comes in from 86.05-86.75.  A break back below here could spark additional profit taking from the run higher. 

Seasonal Trend in Play: December lean hogs have been lower from October 15th-November 6th for 12 of the last 15 years.

HEZ2022_2022-10-26_07-40-28

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Livestock Feeder Cattle Lean Hogs Live Cattle

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